Recently, many papers were published on the dual risk model. The model is suitable for describing companies whose capital reserves involve a constant flow of expenses and occasional profits, such as petroleum, pharmaceutical or commission-based businesses. In actuarial mathematics, the risk of a company is traditionally measured by the probability of ruin, where the time of ruin is defined as the first time when the surplus becomes negative. Classical ruin probability results for the dual model can be found in Grandell [1], Dong and Wang [2], and Zhu and Yang [3].
Another measure considers the expected discounted dividend payments which are paid to the shareholders until ruin. The dividend problem in the dual model was first introduced by Avanzi et al. [4], and the optional dividend strategy in the dual model was a constant barrier strategy. From then, many researchers studied the dual model under different dividend strategies. See Avanzi and Gerber [5], Gerber and Smith [6], Ng [7] and so on. However, the disadvantage of the dividend approach is that, under the optimal strategy, ruin occurs almost surely. Therefore, the idea of capital injections rises. Whenever the surplus becomes negative, the shareholders have to inject capital in order to avoid ruin. See, for example, Yao et al. [8, 9], Avanzi et al. [10] and so on.
All of the approaches above have one thing in common: if the surplus becomes negative, the company either has to inject capital or ruin occurs. However, in practice, it can be observed that some companies continue doing business although they had large losses for a long period. The regulator often intervenes in order to avoid that a company goes out of business. Therefore, it is more realistic to allow negative surplus. In the context of negative surplus, Vierkotter and Schmidli [11] considered optimal dividend problem with penalty payments in a diffusion model. Vierkotter and Schmidli assumed that insurer is not ruined when the surplus becomes negative, but penalty payments occur, depending on the level of the surplus.
Motivated by Vierkotter and Schmidli [11], we consider the optimal dividend problem with penalty payments for a dual model. Similarly, we assume that bankruptcy does not occur, but whenever the surplus is negative, penalty payments occur. These payments reflect all costs which are necessary to prevent bankruptcy. For example, penalty payments can occur if the company needs to borrow money, generate additional equity or additional administrative measures have to be taken. These costs may also be extended to positive surplus to penalise small surplus. The penalty payments are rather technical in order to avoid that the surplus becomes small or even negative. Different from Vierkotter and Schmidli [11], we assume that the dividend payments have transaction costs.
The rest of this paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, the model is described and basic concepts are introduced. In Section 3, the HJB equation and verification theorem for the optimization problem are provided. In Section 4, we explicitly derive the optimal value functions and corresponding optimal strategies for exponential and linear penalty payments when the profits follow an exponential distribution.
Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \{\mathcal{F}_t\}_{t\geq0}, \mathbb{P})$ be a filtered probability space on which all stochastic processes and random variables introduced in the following are defined. The company's uncontrolled surplus process $R=\{R_t\}_{t\geq0}$ is the dual model, which is described as
where $x\geq0$ is the initial surplus level; $c>0$ can be viewed as the rate of expenses; $S_{t}=\sum\limits_{i=1}^{N(t)}Y_{i}$ is a compound Poisson process representing the total income amount up to time $t$, in which $N(t)$ is a Poisson process with a gain arrival intensity $\lambda$, and the sequence of gain amounts $\{Y_i\}_{i\geq1}$ are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) positive random variables with mean $m_1$ and a continuously differentiable distribution function $F(y)$. In addition, since $\mathbb{E}(R_{t}-x)=t(\lambda m_{1}-c)$, we assume that the net profit condition, $\lambda m_{1}-c>0$, is valid.
The manager of the company can control over the dividend payments and the controlled surplus of the company evolves according to
where $D_t$ is the cumulative amount of dividend paid out up to time $t$. The strategy $D=\{D_t\}_{t\geq0}$ is said to be admissible if $D$ is predictable and non-decreasing cádlág processes with $D_{0}=0$. The set of all admissible strategies is denoted by $\mathcal{D} $. We assume that dividends are paid according to a barrier strategy. Such a strategy has a parameter $b>0$, the level of the barrier. Whenever the surplus exceeds the barrier, the excess is paid out immediately as a dividend. This means that
where $I_{A}$ represents the indiction function of event A.
The value function of a strategy $D$ is defined by
where $\delta > 0$ denotes the discount rate, $0<\eta\leq 1$ represents the net proportional of leakages from the surplus received by shareholders after transaction costs are paid. The penalty function $\phi$ is continuous, decreasing, and convex a function, satisfying $\phi(x)\rightarrow 0$ as $x\rightarrow \infty$. The manager's objective is to find the optimal strategy $D^{*}\in\mathcal{D}$ such that
We have to assume
Otherwise, the value function would be minus infinity. Moreover, we assume that
for $x<y<x_{0}$ and some $x_{0}\in \mathbb{R}$ in order that it is not optimal to pay an infinite amount of dividends. Since $\phi$ is assumed to be convex, this means that there is an $x\in \mathbb{R}$ such that $\phi'(x)<-\delta \eta$.
First, we verify some basic properties of the value function that will help us to prove the following HJB equation.
Lemma 3.1 The function $V(x)$ is concave.
Proof Similarly to Vierkotter and Schmidli [11], let $x, y \in\mathbb{R}$ and $z=kx+(1-k)y$, where $k\in(0, 1)$. Applying the strategies $D^{x}$ and $D^{y}$ for initial capital $x$ and $y$, respectively, we define $D_{t}=kD^{x}_{t}+(1-k)D^{y}_{t}$ for the initial capital $z$. Since $-\phi$ is concave and
we obtain
Taking the supremum over all strategies $D^{x}$ and $D^{y}$, we get
This completes the proof.
Remark 3.1 The concavity implies that $V$ is differentiable from the left and from the right and $V'(x-) \geq V'(x+) \geq V'(y-) \geq V'(y+)$ for $x < y$. In particular, $V $ is differentiable almost everywhere. Moreover, the concavity implies that $V$ is continuous.
Lemma 3.2 $V(x)$ is increasing with $V (y) - V (x) \geq \eta(y - x)$ for $x \leq y$ and
Proof Consider a strategy $D$ with $V^D(x)\geq V(x)-\varepsilon$ for an $\varepsilon>0$. For $y\geq x$, we define a new strategy as follows: $y-x$ is paid immediately as dividend and then the strategy $D$ with initial capital $x$ is followed. Then for any $\varepsilon>0$, it holds that
Since $\varepsilon$ is arbitrary, we get $V(y)\geq V(x)+\eta(y-x)$. Hence $V$ is increasing.
Let $V^{0}$ be the value of the strategy where no dividends are paid. Then, Fubini's theorem implies
On the other hand, consider another extreme case: there is no operating cost (i.e., $c=0$), all initial surplus $x$ and profits are paid out immediately as dividends. The company can run smoothly due to no operating costs, there is no penalty payments occur. We find, using the fact that the $n$-th jump time $T_{n}$ is Gamma $\Gamma(\lambda, n)$ distributed, the upper bound
The proof is completed.
Theorem 3.1 The function $V(x)$ fulfils the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation
where operator $\mathcal{A}$ is the infinitesimal generator given by
Proof Let $h\geq0$ and $l\geq0$. Consider the strategy $D^{\varepsilon}$, such that $V^{D^{\varepsilon}}(x')>V(x')-\varepsilon$ for $x'\in(-\infty, x+(c+l)h]$ and $\varepsilon > 0$. Then, we define the strategy
For this strategy, we obtain
Since $\varepsilon$ is arbitrary we can let it tend to zero. Then, rearranging the terms and dividing by $h$ implies
Let $h\rightarrow 0$, we get
Since $l$ is arbitrary, we obtain
If $V'(x)<\eta$, then (3.4) would be positive for $l$ large enough. Hence, we can get $V'(x)\geq \eta$. In addition, when $l=0$, we obtain
Thus, we can get
Theorem 3.2 Assume that $f$ is an increasing, concave and twice continuously differentiable solution to (3.2), then $f(x)\geq V(x)$. Moreover, if there exists $b^{\ast}\in R^+$ such that
(ⅰ) $(\mathcal{A}-\delta)f(x)-\phi(x)=0, {f}'(x)\geq \eta, \forall x\leq b^{\ast}$;
(ⅱ) $(\mathcal{A}-\delta)f(x)-\phi(x)<0, f(x)=f(b^\ast)+\eta(x-b^\ast), \forall x> b^{\ast}$,
then $f(x)=V(x)$ and $b^{\ast}$ is the corresponding optimal dividend barrier.
Proof (ⅰ) For an arbitrary constant $n>0$ and admissible strategy $D\in\mathcal{D}$, define the stopping times $\tau_{n}=\inf \{t\geq0:|R_{t}^{D}|\geq n\}$. Applying generalized Itô's formula yields
Since $f$ is concave, we have $f(y)\leq f(z)+f'(z)(y-z)$ for all $y, z$. Thus
Since $f$ fulfils (3.2) and $f'(x)\geq \eta$, we obtain
Let $b$ be the dividend barrier of strategy $D$, then $R_{t}^{D}\leq b$ a.s.. Since $f$ is increasing, we have $e^{-\delta\tau_{n}}f(R_{\tau_{n}}^{D})\leq e^{-\delta\tau_{n}}f(b)$. Because of $\displaystyle \lim_{n\rightarrow\infty}\mathbb{E}[e^{-\delta\tau_{n}}f(b)]=0$, so by bounded convergence theorem, we have $\displaystyle \lim_{n\rightarrow\infty}\mathbb{E}[e^{-\delta\tau_{n}}f(R_{\tau_{n}}^{D})]=0$. Hence, we get $f(x)\geq V^{D}(x)$. Since $D$ is arbitrary, we have $f(x)\geq V(x)$.
(ⅱ) With strategy $D^{\ast}$, $f'(R_{t}^{D^{\ast}})=\eta$ only if $R_{t}\geq b^{\ast}$, and $\{R_{t}^{D^{\ast}}\}$ only jumps downwards when $R_{t-}^{D{\ast}}> b^{\ast}$. Thus
Taking the expectation on both sides of (3.5) and letting $n\rightarrow\infty$, we get that
This proves the result.
In our examples, we assume that the gain amounts are exponentially distributed. That is $F(y)=1-e^{-\gamma y}$, $\gamma>0$. Then, $m_{1}=\frac{1}{\gamma}$. We obtain the explicit expressions of the optimal value functions and corresponding optimal strategies for exponential and linear penalty payments, respectively.
In this section, we consider the function $\phi(x)=\alpha e^{-\beta x}$ with $\alpha, \beta>0$. Obviously, (2.5) is fulfilled for $x<y<x_{0}=-\beta^{-1}\max\{\ln\delta-\ln(\alpha\beta), 0\}$. Let $M_{Y}(r)=\mathbb{E}[e^{rY}]$ denote the moment-generating function of the gain amounts. Then
Putting the distribution function $F(y)=1-e^{-\gamma y}$ and penalty function $\phi(x)=\alpha e^{-\beta x}$ into $(\mathcal{A}-\delta)V(x)-\phi(x)=0$ for $x\leq b^{\ast}$, we obtain
Since $V(x)=V(b^{\ast})+\eta(x-b^{\ast})$ for $x> b^{\ast}$ and let $z=x+y$, the above equation can be written as
Applying the operator $(\gamma-\frac{d}{dx})$ to the above equation, yields
This equation is solved by
where $\xi_{2}<0<\xi_{1}$ are the roots of the equation
and $C_{1}, C_{2}$ are constants. Since
we see that $V(x)=\infty$ if $-\beta\leq\xi_{2}$. We therefore assume $-\beta>\xi_{2}$, this means that $A>0$, $V(x)\geq -\alpha\displaystyle\int_{0}^{\infty}\mathbb{E}[e^{-\beta R_{t}-\delta t}]dt=-Ae^{-\beta x}$. Now, since $\xi_{1} >0 > -\beta > \xi_{2}$, we obtain that $V(x)$ is only increasing for $x$ small enough if $C_{2} \leq0$. Furthermore, if $C_{2} < 0$, we have $V (x) < -Ae^{-\beta x}$ for $x$ small enough. Thus, it must hold that $C_{2} = 0$. Next, we only need to look for $b^{\ast}$ and $C_{1}$. By $f'(b^{\ast})=\eta$ and $f''(b^{\ast})=0$, that is,
we get
and
Our candidate solution becomes now
Let $G(x)=-Ae^{-\beta x}$. For $x\leq b^{\ast}$, we have
so $f'(x)>f'(b^\ast)=\eta$. And for $x\geq b^{\ast}$, we have $f''(x)=0$, $f'(x)=\eta$. Therefore, by Theorem 3.2, we can get that $f(x)=V(x)$ and $b^{\ast}$ is the optimal dividend barrier.
In Figure 1, the value function is shown for $\lambda=\gamma=1, c=0.8, \delta=0.05, \alpha=0.2$, $\beta=0.3$ and $\eta=0.9$. In this case we have $b^\ast=5.47991$. The solid line gives the optimal value, the dotted line gives the value without dividend payments.
In this section, we assume that the penalty payments occur only when the surplus becomes negative. Therefore, we can let $\phi(x)=-\alpha x I_{\{x<0\}}$ with $\alpha>0$.
Lemma 4.1 (ⅰ) If $\alpha<\delta \eta$, an optimal strategy does not exist and $V(x)=\infty$.
(ⅱ) For $\alpha>\delta \eta$ it holds $V(x)\leq\frac{\alpha(\delta x-c+\lambda m_{1})}{\delta^2}$. Moreover, $V(x)\geq \frac{\alpha(\delta x-c+\lambda m_{1})}{\delta^2}+C$ for some $C<0$ if $x\leq0$.
(ⅲ) Let $\alpha=\delta \eta$, then $V(x)=\frac{\alpha(\delta x-c+\lambda m_{1})}{\delta^2}$.
Proof This lemma can be proved analogously as in the proof of [11, Lemma 5.1].
(ⅰ) Let $D^{0}\in\mathcal{D}$ with the barrier $b=0$. We define the strategy $D_{t}^{(0, a)}=D_{t}^{0}+at$ for some $a>0$. Now, we have $R_{t}^{(0, a)}\leq0$ and
Hence, we get
If $\alpha<\delta\eta$, let $a\rightarrow\infty$, we can get $V(x)=\infty$.
(ⅱ) Let $D\in\mathcal{D}$ be an arbitrary strategy. We assume that $\displaystyle \lim_{t\rightarrow\infty}\mathbb{E}[e^{-\delta t}D_{t}]=0$. Then
Since $D$ is arbitrary, we have $V(x)\leq \frac{\alpha(\delta x-c+\lambda m_{1})}{\delta^2}$. Now, let $x\leq0$, we have
for some $C<0$.
(ⅲ) Consider the same strategy as in (ⅰ). By $\alpha=\delta\eta$, we obtain $V(x)\geq\frac{\alpha(\delta x-c+\lambda m_{1})}{\delta^2}$.
On the other hand, from (ⅱ) we get $V(x)\leq\frac{\alpha(\delta x-c+\lambda m_{1})}{\delta^2}$.
From Lemma 4.1, when $\alpha=\delta\eta$, we know that a barrier strategy with a barrier at zero is optimal. So, in the following, we assume that $\alpha>\delta\eta$. This is consistent with our assumption in (2.5). In addition, the dividend barrier must be positive, because it can't be optimal to pay dividends if the surplus is negative.
Next, we use a similar method to obtain the explicit expression of the optimal value functions and corresponding optimal strategy for linear penalty payments.
Now, writting the distribution function $F(y)=1-e^{-\gamma y}$ and penalty function $\phi(x)=-\alpha x$ into $(\mathcal{A}-\delta)V(x)-\phi(x)=0$ for $x\leq b^{\ast}$, we obtain
Since $V(x)=V(b^{\ast})+\eta(x-b^{\ast})$ for $x> b^{\ast}$, and let $z=x+y$, the above equation can be written as
where $B_1$, $B_2$ are constants and $\xi_1$, $\xi_2$ are the roots of (4.5). Let $G(x)=\frac{\alpha(\delta x-c+\lambda m_{1})}{\delta^2}.$
When $x\in(0, b^{\ast}]$, we have $\phi(x)$=0. Putting the distribution function $F(y)=1-e^{-\gamma y}$ and penalty function $\phi(x)=0$ into $(\mathcal{A}-\delta)V(x)-\phi(x)=0$, similarly, we obtain
where $B_3$, $B_4$ are constants and $\xi_1$, $\xi_2$ as above.
Now, $f_1(x)$ is increasing for $x$ small enough only if $B_{2} \leq0$. Furthermore, if $B_2<0$, we have $f_1(x)<\frac{\alpha(\delta x-c+\lambda m_{1})}{\delta^2}+C$ for $x$ small enough. Thus, we let $B_2=0$. Note that the continuity of $\phi$ in $x=0$ together with $f_1(0)=f_2(0)$ and $f'_1(0)=f'_2(0)$ implies $f''_1(0)=f''_2(0)$. At the dividend barrier, we have $f'_2(b^\ast)=\eta$ and $f''_2(b^\ast)=0$. By these bounded conditions, we obtain
Thus, we can get that $B_3>0$, $B_4<0$ and
From the above, our candidate solution becomes now
By construction, we know that $f(x)$ is twice continuously differentiable. Now,
Then, if $0<x\leq b^\ast$, $f''_2(x)\leq f''_2(b^\ast)=0$ and $f'_2(x)\geq f'_2(b^\ast)=\eta$. Furthermore, $f''_1(x)=\xi_1^2B_1e^{\xi_1x}<0$. Therefore, $f'_1(x)\geq f'_1(0)=f'_2(0)> f'_2(b^\ast)=\eta$ for $x\leq0$. So $f$ is concave and $f'(x)\geq \eta$ for all $x\leq b^\ast$.
In conclusion, $f(x)$ satisfies all of conditions of Theorem 3.2. Therefore, we can get that $f(x)=V(x)$ and $b^\ast$ is the optimal dividend barrier.
Figure 2 illustrates the value function for $\lambda=\gamma=1, c=0.8, \delta=0.05$ and $\alpha=0.2$. The optimal dividend barrier is given by $b^\ast=3.03070$.