The long-range dependence property has become an important aspect of stochastic models in various scientific areas including hydrology, telecommunication, turbulence, image processing and finance. The best known and most widely used process that exhibits the long-range dependence property is fractional Brownian motion (fBm in short). The fBm is a suitable generalization of the standard Brownian motion, but exhibits long-range dependence, self-similarity and it has stationary increments.
Recently, Es-Sebaiy and Nourdin [9] studied the asymptotic properties of a least squares estimator for the parameter $\alpha$ of a fractional bridge defined as
where $B^H$ is a fBm with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$, and the process $X$ was observed continuously. Especially, when $H=\frac12, $ Barczy and Pap [3, 4] studied the various problems related to the $\alpha$-Wiener bridge.
In applications usually the process cannot be observed continuously. Only discrete-time observations are available. There exists a rich literature on the parameter estimation problem for diffusion processes driven by fBm based on discrete observations (see, for example, Hu [10], Hu and Song [11], Es-Sebaiy [8] and the reference.)
Motivated by all these results, in this paper, we will consider the $\alpha$ weighted fractional bridge (1.1) Assume that the process $X$ is observed equidistantly in time with the step size $t_i=i\bigtriangleup_n, i=0, \cdots, n$, and $T_n=n\bigtriangleup_n$ denotes the length of the `observation window'. We also assume that $T_n+\bigtriangleup_n=T$, and $\bigtriangleup_n\rightarrow0$ when $n\rightarrow\infty$. Our goal is to study the asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimator (LSE for short) $\widehat{\alpha}_n$ of $\alpha$ based on the sampling data $X_{t_i}, i=0, \cdots, n$. Our technics used in this work were inspired from Es-Sebaiy [8].
The least squares estimator $\widehat{\alpha}_n$ aims to minimize
This is a quadratic function of $\alpha$. The minimum is achieved when
By (1.1), we can get the following result
where $M_i=\alpha\frac{X_{t_{i-1}}}{T-t_{i-1}}\displaystyle\int^{t_i}_{t_{i-1}}\left(\frac{X_{t_{i-1}}}{T-{t_{i-1}}}-\frac{X_s}{T-s}\right)ds +\displaystyle\int^{t_i}_{t_{i-1}}\frac{X_{t_{i-1}}}{T-{t_{i-1}}}\delta^{a, b} B^{a, b}_t, i=1, \cdots, n.$
The paper is organized as follows. In Section 2 some known results that we will use are recalled. The consistency of estimator is proved Section 3.
In this section we introduce some basic facts on the Malliavin calculus for the weighted fractional Brownian motion $B^{a, b}$. Recall that the weighted fractional Brownian motion $B^{a, b}$ with parameters $a>-1, |b|<1, |b|\leq a+1$ is a centered and self-similar Gaussian process with long/short-range dependence. It admits the relatively simple covariance function as follows
Clearly, for $a=0, ~b=0$, $B^{a, b} $ coincides with the standard Brownian motion $B$. For $a=0$, we get
which for $-1<b<1$ corresponds to the covariance of the well-known fBm with Hurst index $\frac{b+1}{2}$ and it admits the explicit significance. Hence, wfBm's are a family of processes which extend fBm's, perhaps it may be useful in some applications. This process $B^{a, b}$ appeared in Bojdecki et al.[5] in a limit of occupation time fluctuations of a system of independent particles moving in ${\mathbb R}^d$ according a symmetric $\alpha$-stable Lévy process, $0<\alpha\leq 2$ (see also Bojdecki et al.[6, 7]), and it is neither a semimartingale nor a Markov process unless $a=0, b=0$, so many of the powerful techniques from stochastic analysis are not available when dealing with $B^{a, b}$. The wfBm has properties analogous to those of fBm (self-similarity, long-range dependence, Hölder paths). However, in comparison with fBm, the wfBm has non-stationary increments and satisfies the following estimates (see Bojdecki et al.[6], Yan et al. [15]):
for $s, t\geq 0$, where $C_{a, b}$ and $c_{a, b}$ stand for positive constants and whose value may be different in different appearance. Thus Kolmogorov's continuity criterion implies that wfBm is Hölder continuous of order $\delta$ for any $\delta<\frac12(1+b)$. The process $B^{a, b}$ is $\frac{a+b+1}{2}$ self-similar, and certainly, the self similar index $\frac{b+1}{2}$ does not coincide with the Hölder index $\frac{1+b}{ 2}$. However, the Hölder indices of many popular self-similar Gaussian processes coincide with their self similar indices such as fractional Brownian motion, sub-fractional Brownian motion and bi-fractional Brownian motion. That is causing trouble for the research, and it is also our a motivation to study the weighted-fractional Brownian motion. More studies on wfBm could be found in Garzón [13], Shen et al. [14], Yan et al. [15].
As a Gaussian process, it is possible to construct a stochastic calculus of variations with respect to the Gaussian process $B^{a, b}$, which will be related to the Malliavin calculus. Some surveys and complete literatures could be found in Alós et al.[1] and Nualart [12]. We recall here the basic definitions and results of this calculus. The crucial ingredient is the canonical Hilbert space $\mathcal{H}$ (is also said to be reproducing kernel Hilbert space) associated to the wfBm which is defined as the closure of the linear space ${\mathcal E}$ generated by the indicator functions $\{1_{[0, t]}, t\in[0, T]\}$ with respect to the scalar product $ \langle 1_{[0, t]}, 1_{[0, s]}\rangle_{\mathcal {H}}=R^{a, b}(t, s). $ The application ${\mathcal E} \ni\varphi \mapsto B(\varphi)$ is an isometry from ${\mathcal E}$ to the Gaussian space generated by $B^{a, b}$ and it can be extended to $\mathcal {H}$. The Hilbert space ${\mathcal H}$ can be written as
where
with $\phi(t, s)=b(t\wedge s)^a(t\vee s-t\wedge s)^{b-1}$. Notice that the elements of the Hilbert space ${\mathcal H}$ may not be functions but distributions of negative order. We can use the subspace $|{\mathcal H}|$ of $\mathcal H$ which is defined as the set of measurable function $\varphi$ on $[0, T]$ such that
It is not difficult to show that $|{\mathcal H}|$ is a Banach space with the norm $\|\varphi\|_{|\mathcal{H}|}$ and ${\mathcal E}$ is dense in $|{\mathcal H}|$, and
For $b>0$ we denote by $\mathcal S$ the set of smooth functionals of the form
where $f\in C_b^\infty ({\mathbb R}^n)$ ( $f$ and all its derivatives are bounded) and $\varphi_i \in \mathcal {H}, i=1, 2, \cdots, n$. The Malliavin derivative of a function $F\in {\mathcal S}$ as above is given by
The derivative operator $D^{a, b}$ is then a closable operator from $L^2(\Omega)$ into $L^2(\Omega;{\mathcal H})$. We denote by ${\mathbb D}^{1, 2}$ the closure of ${\mathcal S}$ with respect to the norm
The divergence integral $\delta^{{a, b}}$ is the adjoint operator of $D^{{a, b}}$. That is, we say that a random variable $u$ in $L^2(\Omega;{\mathcal H})$ belongs to the domain of the divergence operator $\delta^{a, b}$, denoted by ${\rm {Dom}}(\delta^{a, b})$, if $ E\left|\langle D^{a, b}F, u\rangle_{\mathcal H}\right|\leq c\|F\|_{L^2(\Omega)} $ for every $F\in \mathcal S$. In this case $\delta^{a, b}(u)$ is defined by the duality relationship
for any $u\in {\mathbb D}^{1, 2}$. We will use the notation $ \delta^{a, b}(u)=\displaystyle\int_0^Tu_sdB^{a, b}_s $ to express the Skorohod integral of a process $u$, and the indefinite Skorohod integral is defined as $\displaystyle\int_0^tu_sdB^{a, b}_s=\delta^{a, b}(u \mathbb{1} _{[0, t]})$.
If $u\in D^{1, 2}(|\mathcal H|)$, $u\in {\rm Dom}\delta$, then we have (see Nualart [12])
where the constant $C_{a, b}$ depends only on $a, b.$ As a consequence, applying (2.5) we have
For every $n\geq 1, $ let $\mathcal{H}_n$ be the $n$-th Wiener chaos of $B^{a, b}, $ that is, the closed linear subspace of $L^2(\Omega)$ generated by the random variables $\{H_n(B^{a, b}(h)), h\in\mathcal{H}, ||h||_{\mathcal{H}}=1\}$, where $H_n$ is the $n$-th Hermite polynomial. The mapping $I_n(h^{\otimes n})=n!H_n(B^{a, b}(h))$ provides a linear isometry between the symmetric tensor product $\mathcal{H}^{\odot n}$ (equipped with the modified norm $\|.\|_{\mathcal{H}^{\odot n}}=\frac{1}{\sqrt{n!}}\|.\|_{\mathcal{H}^{\otimes n}}$) and $\mathcal{H}_n$. For every $f, g \in \mathcal{H}^{\odot n}$ the following multiplication formula holds $ E(I_n(f)I_n(g))=n!\langle f, g\rangle_{\mathcal{H}^{\otimes n}}. $
Let $f, g: [0, T]\rightarrow \mathbb{R}$ be Hölder continuous functions of orders $\alpha \in(0, 1)$ and $\beta \in(0, 1)$ with $\alpha+\beta>1$. Young proved that the Riemann-Stieltjes integral (so-called Young integral) $\displaystyle\int^T_0 f_sdg_s$ exists. Moreover, if $\alpha=\beta\in (\frac12, 1)$ and $F:\mathbb{R}^2\rightarrow\mathbb{R}$ is a function of class $\mathcal{C}^1$, the integrals $\displaystyle\int^._0\frac{\partial F}{\partial f}(f_u, g_u)df_u$ and $\displaystyle\int^._0\frac{\partial F}{\partial g}(f_u, g_u)dg_u$ exist in the Young sense and the following change of variables formula holds:
As a consequence, if $\frac{1+b}{2}>\frac12$ and $(u_t, t\in[0, T])$ be a process with Hölder paths of order $\alpha>1-\frac{1+b}{2}$, the integral $\displaystyle\int^T_0u_sdB^{a, b}_s$ is well-defined as Young integral. Suppose that for any $t\in[0, T], u_t\in D^{1, 2}(|{\mathcal H}|)$, and
Then by the same argument as in Alòs and Nualart [2], we have
In particular, when $\varphi$ is a non-random Hölder continuous function of order $ \alpha> 1-\frac{1+b}{2}$, we have
In addition, for all $\varphi, \psi\in|\mathcal{H}|$,
Throughout this paper we assume $a>-1, |b|<1, |b|\leq a+1$. We will study eq. (1.1) driven by a weighted fractional Brownian motion $B^{a, b}$ and $\alpha>0$ is the unknown parameter to be estimated for discretely observed $ X$. It is readily checked that we have the following explicit expression for $X_t$:
where the integral can be understood as Young integral. In order to study the asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimator, let us introduce the following processes
Hence, we have
For simplicity, we assume that the notation $a_n\unrhd b_n$ means that there exists positive constants $C=C_{H, \alpha}>0$ (depending only on $H, \alpha$ and its value may differ from line to line) so that
We first give the following lemmas.
Lemma3.1 Let $\alpha>0, -1<a<0, 0<b<1, b<a+1$. Then
and
Proof By (2.9), we have
On the other hand,
This completes the proof.
Lemma3.2 Let $-1<a<0, 0<b<1, 2\alpha-1<b<a+1$, then
Proof In fact, we have
So we obtain that
Lemma3.3 Assume $-1<a<0, 0<b<1, 1-b<2\alpha<1+b\leq a+2$ and let $F_{T_n}=\displaystyle\int^{T_n}_0\frac{X_t}{T-t}\delta^{a, b} B^{a, b}_t$. Then
Proof By the isometry property of the double stochastic integral $I_2$, the variance of $F_{T_n}$is given by
Now, we study $I_{T_n}$, by setting
We have $I_{T_n}=I_1I_2.$ In a similar way
Thus the proof is finished.
The following theorem give the consistency of the least squares estimator $\widehat{\alpha}_n$ of $\alpha$.
Theorem 3.1 Let $\alpha>1/2, -1<a<0, -a<b<1, 1-b<2\alpha<1+b+a\leq 2a+2.$ If
as $n\rightarrow\infty$ and $T_n+\bigtriangleup_n=T.$ Then we have
where $\stackrel{\rm P}{\longrightarrow}$ means convergence in probability.
Proof By (1.3), we have
Let $0<\varepsilon<1, $ we obtain
First, we consider the term $B_1(n), $ we have
For the term $B_{1, 1}(n), $ using Lemma 3.2, we obtain
So we get
Hence
For the term $B_{1, 2}(n)$, it follow the fact that for $0\leq t<T$,
We have
Using inequality (2.7) and $E A_t=0, D^H_sA_t=(T-s)^{-\alpha}1_{[0, t]}(s)$, we have
Thus
Hence $B_{1, 2}(n)\unrhd\frac{\bigtriangleup_n^{a+b}}{\varepsilon(1-\varepsilon)}.$ For the term $B_{1, 3}(n)$, by setting $F_{T_n}=\displaystyle\int^{T_n}_0\frac{X_t}{T-t}\delta^{a, b} B^{a, b}_t$, by using Lemma 3.3, we get
As consequence,
Second, we estimate the term $B_2(n), $
We first consider $B_{2, 1}(n)$. Since
By Markov inequality, we obtain
Now, we estimate the term $B_{2, 2}(n)$. Applying the change of variable formula (2.8), we get
By Markov inequality and Lemma 3.2, we obtain
Therefore
Combining (3.3) and (3.4), this completes the proof.