The dual ruin model is defined as
where $u\geq0$ represents the initial surplus, $c$ is expense rate and the the aggregate revenue $S(t)$ represents the compound Poisson process, given by the Poisson parameter $\lambda$. The gain amounts $\{Y_{i}, i\geq 1 \}$ (independent of $\{N_{t}, t\geq 0\}$) is a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d) positive random variables with common density function $f_{Y}(y)$. The corresponding Laplace transform of common distribution $Y$ is $\overset{\sim}f_{Y}(s)=\mathop{\displaystyle\int}_{0}^{\infty}e^{-sy}f_{Y}(y)dy$.
A hot topic about risk model is the expected discounted dividends until ruin, which is studied thoroughly in many other papers. Avanzi et al. [1] studied the optimal dividends under the barrier strategy; Ng [2] considered discounted dividends in the dual model with a dividend threshold; Albrecher et al. [3] further discussed dividend payments with tax payments. These papers considered the model with exponential inter-event times while some other papers are based on Erlang $(n)$ distributed inter-event times (see Albrecher et al. [4], Yang and Sendova [5] and Eugenio et al. [6]).
In practice, the company's board checks the surplus regularly and then decides whether to pay dividends to shareholders. Thus dividends may be paid to shareholders only in special times. As shown in Avanzi et al. [7], the dual model with Erlang $(n)$ distributed observation times is provided. They assumed that the ruin happens as long as the surplus falls below the zero level. In fact, even if the surplus is negative, the management are no aware of bankruptcy and keep this business alive due to the continuity of business. Thus, only with negative assets in the special times can company go bankrupt (see Albrecher et al.[8]). Peng et al. [9] considered dividend payments in the dual model with exponentially distributed observation times, note that ruin and dividends can only be observed at these random observation times. In this paper, we consider the dual model based on the method of Albrecher et al. [8] who studied the classical risk model with random observation times.
We assume the dual model can only be observed at times $\{Z_{k}\}_{k=1}^{\infty}$, at which ruin and dividend occur. Constant dividend barrier strategy is implemented. If the surplus exceeds the barrier $b>0$ at the times $Z_{k}$, the excess is paid out immediately as a dividend. Otherwise, there is no dividend payments.
Let $T_{k}=Z_{k}-Z_{k-1}$ ( $Z_{0}$ is not assumed to be a dividend decision time), and assume that $\{T_{k}\}_{k=1}^{\infty}$ is an i.i.d. sequence distributed as a generic $r.v.~ T$ and independent of $\{N(t)\}_{t\geq 0}$ and $\{Y_{i}\}_{i=1}^{\infty}$. The common distribution $T$ is Erlang $(n)$ distributed with density
and corresponding Laplace transform has the form $\overset{\sim}f_{T}(s)=\displaystyle\int_{0}^{\infty}e^{-st}f_{T}(t)dt=\big(\frac{\gamma}{\gamma+s}\big)^{n}$.
We denote the sequences of surplus levels at the time points $\{Z_{k}^{-}\}_{k=1}^{\infty}$ and $\{Z_{k}\}_{k=1}^{\infty}$ by $\{U_{b}(k)\}_{k=1}^{\infty}$ and $\{W_{b}(k)\}_{k=1}^{\infty}$, respectively, i.e., $\{U_{b}(k)\}$ and $\{W_{b}(k)\}$ are the surplus levels at the $k$-th observation before (after, respectively) potential dividends are paid.
The time of ruin is defined by ${\tau}_{b}=Z_{k_{b}}$, where $k_{b}=\inf\{k\geq1, W_{b}(k)\leq 0\}$ is the number of observation intervals before ruin. Then we have the recursive relation
A sample path under the present model is depicted in Figure 1.
The total discounted dividend payments until ruin for a discount rate $\delta \geq 0$ are
With time 0 an observation time, the total discounted dividend payments until ruin are represented by
In particular, the distribution of $\Delta_{M, \delta}(u, b)$ for $0\leq u <b$ already determines $\Delta_{\delta}(u, b)$ for arbitrary $u$.
We assume that time $0$ is not a dividend decision time. The total expected discounted dividends are
Depending on the value of the initial surplus, define
The rest of this paper is organized as follows: in Section 2, we derive and solve the integral equations satisfied by the expected discounted dividends until ruin when the Laplace transform of a general gain distribution follows rational case. In Section 3, we obtain explicit form of the expected discounted dividends when jump sizes and inter-observation times follow an exponential distribution. In Section 4, we generalize the results to the case that the inter-observation times are Erlang(2) distributed. In addition, numerical illustrations for the effect of model parameters on the expected value of the discounted dividends are studied and image description is given.
Due to the Markovian structure of $\{U_{t}\}_{t\geq 0}$, the sequence of pairs
is i.i.d with genetic distribution $(T, \sum\limits_{i=1}^{N(T)}Y_{i}-cT)$ and joint Laplace transform
As in Albrecher et al. [8], we write
where $g_{\delta}(y)(-\infty<y<\infty)$ represents the discounted density of the increment $\sum\limits_{i=1}^{N(T)}-cT$ between successive observation times, discounted at rate $\delta$. According to the assumption that inter-observation $T$ has an Erlang $(n)$ distribution, eq.(2.1) is rewritten as
There are zeros in the denominator above, namely, the roots of the equation
in which there is a unique positive root $\rho_{\gamma}>0$. To make calculation easier, we use the notation
By conditioning on the pair $(T_{1}, \sum\limits_{i=1}^{N(T_{1})}-cT_{1})$ and using eq.(2.5), we get
with continuity condition $V_{1}(0, b)=V_{2}(0, b)$ and $V_{2}(b, b)=V_{3}(b, b)$.
The quantities $g_{\delta, -}(y)$ and $g_{\delta, +}(y)$ will not always have a tractable form, but if $f_{Y}(y)$ has a rational Laplace transform, i.e.,
where $Q_{1, m}(s)$ is a polynomial in $s$ of degree exactly $m$ with leading coefficient of 1 and $Q_{2, m-1}(s)$ is a polynomial in $s$ of degree at most $m-1$ (and the two polynomials have distinct zeros). From Albrecher et al. [10], it follows that
where $-R_{\gamma, 1}$, $-R_{\gamma, 2}, \cdots, -R_{\gamma, m}$ are the $m$ roots of eq.(2.4) with negative real parts and the constants $B_{j}^{*}$ and $B_{ij}$ are given by
In view of eqs.(2.6)-(2.8), the expression for $V_{1}(u, b)$ and $V_{3}(u, b)$ are closely associated with $V_{2}(u, b)$. So we derive $V_{1}(u, b)$ and $V_{3}(u, b)$ easily by substituting back the solution for $V_{2}(u, b)$ into eq.(2.6) and eq.(2.8).
Substitution of eq.(2.9) and eq.(2.10) into eq.(2.7) yields, after rearranging terms,
Applying the operator $(d/du+\rho_{\gamma})^{n}\prod\limits_{i=1}^{m}(d/du-R_{\gamma, i})^{n}$ to both sides of the above, we obtain that $V_{2}(u, b)$ satisfies a homogeneous differential equation of order $n(m+1)$ in $u$ with constant coefficients. A solution of eq.(2.13) is of the form
where constants $\{A_{p}\}_{p=1}^{n(m+1)}$ and $\{\alpha_{p}\}_{p=1}^{n(m+1)}$ may be associated with $b$, but independent of $u$. When $\{\alpha_{p}\}_{p=1}^{n(m+1)}$ have multiple roots, the solution of eq.(2.13) is of the form
where $k_{p}$ is the multiplicity of the root $\alpha_{p}$ and satisfies the equation $\sum\limits_{p=1}^{r}k_{p}=n(m+1)$. As for this case, the method is analogous as follows. Substituting eq.(2.14) into eq.(2.13), the first integral on the right-hand side of eq.(2.13) is evaluated as
Similarly, the second integral in eq.(2.13) is given by
while the third integral in eq.(2.13) is written as
Putting back eqs.(2.15)-(2.17) into eq.(2.13), equating coefficients of $e^{\alpha_{p}u}$ leads to
Substitution of eq.(2.9) and eq.(2.10) yields the requirement that
In comparison with eq.(2.18) above, we may conclude that $\{\alpha_{p}\}_{p=1}^{n(m+1)}$ are the opposite numbers to the roots of the equation
In other words $\{\alpha_{p}\}_{p=1}^{n(m+1)}$ are also the opposite numbers to the roots of the equation
Equating coefficients of $u^{j-1}e^{R_{\gamma, i}(u-b)}$ leads to
Finally, equating coefficients of $u^{j-1}e^{-\rho_{\gamma}u}$ yields
Consequently, we have eq.(2.20) to solve for $\{\alpha_{p}\}_{p=1}^{n(m+1)}$. Moreover, notice that there is a system of $m\times n+n=n(m+1)$ equations for the constants $\{A_{p}\}_{p=1}^{n(m+1)}$ given by eq.(2.21) and eq.(2.22). Hence, the expression for $V_{2}(u, b)$ is obtained easily.
In the case that $f_{Y}(y)=\beta e^{-\beta y}$, and $f_{T}(t)=\gamma e^{-\gamma t}$, eq.(2.4) reduces to
in which there is a positive root $\rho_{\gamma}$ and a negative root $-R_{\gamma} (R_{\gamma}>0)$. Then we may simplify eq.(2.20) to
with a positive root $\rho_{0}$ and a negative root $-R_{0}$.
From eq.(2.9) and eq.(2.10), it follows that
Putting back $g_{\delta, -}(y)$ and $g_{\delta, +}(y)$ above into the original integral eqs. (2.6)-(2.8) yields
Furthermore, on combining with the conclusion mentioned at the end of Section 2 and the simplified eq.(3.1), the solution for $V_{2}(u, b)$ can be expressed as
Substituting $V_{2}(u, b)$ above into eq.(3.5) and comparing the coefficients of $e^{-\rho_{\gamma}u}$ and $e^{R_{\gamma}(u-b)}$ leads to
and
Therefore, we have two linear equations satisfied by $C_{1}$ and $C_{2}$. After some calculations, we have
Hence we get
Putting $V_{2}(u, b)$ above into eqs.(3.4) and (3.6), we obtain
It should be mentioned that using different method we derive the same results as that given by Peng et al. [9].
In the case that $f_{Y}(y)=\beta e^{-\beta y}$ and $f_{T}(t)=\gamma^2 t e^{-\gamma t}$, eq.(2.4) is equivalent to
with two roots $\rho_{r}$ and $-R_{\gamma}$ (the same as above). Then eq.(2.20) may be rewritten as
in which there are four roots $\rho_{0}$, $-R_{0}$, $\rho_{\gamma}^{*}$ and $-R_{\gamma}^{*}$.
By eqs.(2.9) and (2.10), we immediately obtain
where the constants $B_{1}^{*}$, $B_{2}^{*}$, $B_{1}$, $B_{2}$ are given by
Substituting back eqs.(4.2) and (4.3) into eq.(2.7) produces
Applying the operator $(\frac{d}{du}+\rho_{\gamma})^{2}(\frac{d}{du}-R_{\gamma})^{2}$ on both sides, it implies that
Furthermore, the expression combined with the conclusion discussed before and eq.(4.1) indicates
Hence, the solution of eq.(4.4) has the explicit form
Putting $V_{2}(u, b)$ above into eq.(4.4) and equating coefficients of $ue^{-\rho_{\gamma}u}$ leads to
Equating coefficients of $e^{-\rho_{\gamma}u}$ leads to
Equating coefficients of $ue^{R_{\gamma}(u-b)}$ leads to
Equating coefficients of $e^{R_{\gamma}(u-b)}$ leads to
Therefore, we have a system of linear eqs. (4.6)-(4.9) for the four remaining constants $C_{1}$, $C_{2}$, $C_{3}$, $C_{4}$ (only with given $b$).
Example 1 Let $T\sim {\rm Erlang}(2, 2)$, $\lambda=1$, $c=0.8$, $\delta=0.05$ and $\beta=1$. The solution of eq.(4.1) are
and we have
The coefficients $\{c_{i}\}_{i=1}^{4}$ can easily be determined by eqs.(4.6)-(4.9) and is a function of $b$.
At the end of this section, we use the following numerical examples to discuss the impact of the model parameters on the expected total dividend payments. Table 1 gives some numerical values of $V_{2}(u, b)$ and Figure 2 depicts the behavior of $V_{2}(u, b)$ as a function of $b$ for some given values of initial capital $u$. The top curve corresponds to $u=5$, and the next one corresponds to $u=4$ and so on. Combining both together, we find that dividends increase as $u$ increases for each fixed $b$. Observing carefully, $V_{2}(u, b)$ appears to increase with $b$ initially and decrease afterwards if $u$ is small. Further, with initial capital $u$ bigger, $V_{2}(u, b)$ is a monotonically decreasing function of $b$.