Finding the optimal dividend strategy for an insurance company is a very popular research topics in actuarial mathematics. It was first proposed for measuring the stability of an insurance company by De Finetti [1]. In recent years, many papers were published about the optimal dividend strategy. See, for example, Jeanblanc and Shiryaev [2], Amussen et al. [3], Gerber and Shiu [4], Bai and Paulsen [5], Bayraktar et al. [6, 7], Wang [8] and the references therein. One can refer to Avanzi [9] and Albrecher and Thonhauser [10] for knowing more about the models with dividends before 2009. But in all of the above-mentioned literatures, the surplus process need continuously observed, which cannot be realized in practice. Albrecher et al. [11-14] first introduced the idea of randomized observation time in the classical risk model, the diffusion model and the Lévy model, in which the risk process can be "looked" only at random times. Avanzi [15] and Peng et al. [16] considered this idea in the dual model. The model was extended to the dual model with diffusion by Liu et al. [17] and Avanzi et al. [18].
Brownian motion model is a Brownian motion with a positive drift. This model can be viewed as a diffusion approximation of the classical risk model, but it often leads to more simple calculation of the characteristics than the classical risk model, such as ruin probability. Wang and Liu [19] studied the expected discounted sum of dividends paid until ruin in the Brownian motion model with interest under the assumption that the dividend strategy is restricted to a barrier strategy and the dividends can only be paid at some randomized observation times. Naturally, one interesting problem appears: is the barrier strategy optimal or not? In this paper, assuming that the surplus of a company is modeled by the Brownian motion model with interest, we show that the barrier strategy is the optimal dividend strategy among all the admissible dividend strategies by using stochastic control theory.
This paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, the Brownian motion model with interest and randomized observation time is shortly discussed. In Section 3, it is shown that the optimal value function can be characterized by the associated HJB equation. In addition, the verification theorem is stated and proved. In Section 4, we show that the optimal dividend strategy is a barrier strategy, and the explicit expression for the optimal value function is given.
Let $(\Omega, \ \mathcal{F}, \ \{\mathcal{F}_{t}\}_{t\geq 0}, \ P)$ be a filtered probability space on which all random processes and variables introduced in the following are defined. We assume that the surplus process of an insurance company is modeled by the Brownian motion model and the company invests all the surplus in the risk-free asset. Let $\{X(t);\ t\geq 0\}$ be the surplus of the company before a dividend strategy is imposed. Then $\{X(t);\ t\geq 0\}$ satisfies the following stochastic differential equation
where $c > 0$ is the drift coefficient, $r > 0$ is the force of interest, $\sigma > 0$ is the standard deviation and $\{B(t);\ t\geq 0\}$ is a standard Brownian motion.
Let $\{T_{i};\ i=1, \ 2, \ \cdots\}$ denote the random observation times. Let $Z_{i}=T_{i}-T_{i-1}$ with $T_{0}=0$ be the $i$th time interval between observations, we assume that $\{Z_{i};\ i=1, \ 2, \ \cdots\}$ are independent random variables with an exponential distribution of mean $\frac{1}{\beta}$. Let $L_i$ be the dividend payment at $T_{i}$. Let $\{X_{L}(t);\ t\geq 0\}$ denote the surplus process after an admissible dividend strategy $L$ is imposed.
A dividend strategy $L=\{L_i;\ i=1, \ 2, \ \cdots\}$ is called admissible, if $L_i\leq X_{L}(T_{i}-)$ and no dividend is paid after ruin. Denote $\Pi$ the set of all admissible dividend strategies.
Let $\tau_{L}=\text{inf}\{t:\ X_{L}(t)\leq 0\}$ be the ruin time. Assume that dividends are discounted at a constant force of interest $\delta$. In this paper we assume $\delta > r$. For a given admissible strategy $L$, we define the value function $V_L$ as
where $I_{\{\cdot\}}$ is the indicator function and $E_{x}$ is the expectation corresponding to the law of $\{X_{L}(t);\ t\geq 0\}$ with $X_{L}(0)=x$. We aim to find the optimal value function, which is defined as
and find an optimal dividend strategy $L^{*}$ that satisfies $V(x)=V_{L^{*}}(x)$. For technical reasons, we define $V(x)=0$ for $x < 0$.
In this section, the HJB equation associated with (2.3) is obtained and the verification theorem is stated and proved.
Suppose $V(x)$ is twice continuously differentiable on $[0, \infty)$. Consider a small time interval $(0, \triangle t]$, where $\triangle t > 0$ is sufficiently small so that the surplus process will not reach $0$ if there is no dividend paying in the interval. The strategy $L$ is that paying amount $l\geq 0$ as dividend if $T_1\leq \triangle t$. By the strong Markov property of the surplus process, we have
Applying Itó formula, we get
Plugging (3.2) into (3.1), rearranging the terms, dividing by $\triangle t$ and then letting $\triangle t$ tend to 0, we have
We obtain the HJB equation associated with (2.3) as follows
where
Because ruin is immediate and no dividend is paid if the initial surplus $x=0$, we get the boundary condition $V(0)=0$.
The next Theorem states the verification theorem.
Theorem 3.1 Let $H(x):[0, \infty)\rightarrow [0, \infty)$ with $H(0)=0$ be a twice continuously differentiable function. Assume that $H(x)$ is dominated by a linear function. If $H(x)$ satisfies
we then have
Furthermore, if $H(x)$ satisfies
Proof Let $L=\{L_i;\ i=1, \ 2, \ \cdots\}$ be any admissible strategy and $X_{L}(t)$ be the surplus process associated with the dividend strategy $L$. Denote $\mathcal{S}=\{T_{i};\ i=1, \ 2, \ \cdots\}$. For convenience we let $H(x)=0$ for $x < 0$. From generalized Itô formula, we know that
Defining
and
we have
Noting that $K(t)$ and $J(t)$ can be denoted as
where $N_{\beta}(t)$ is a Poisson process with parameter $\beta$, we then have that $K(t)$ and $J(t)$ are martingales with zero-expectation, together with condition (3.5), we get
Because $H(x)$ is dominated by a linear function, we know that
for some positive constants $k_{1}$ and $k_{2}$, hence
if $t\leq \tau$ and $e^{-\delta(t\wedge\tau)}H(X_{L}(t\wedge\tau))=0$ if $t > \tau$. By dominated convergence theorem, we have
Let $t$ tend to $\infty$ in (3.11) and using (3.12) yield
Because (3.13) holds for any admissible strategy $L$, we have $H(x)\geq V(x)$.
If condition (3.7) holds, we take the admissible strategy $L_{i}^{*}=l(X_{L^{*}}(T_{i}-))$, where $l(x)$ satisfies
By a similar argument, we get $H(x)=V_{L^{*}}(x)$, hence $H(x)=V(x)$ and $L^{*}$ is the optimal dividend strategy. The proof is completed.
In this section, we show that there exists a twice continuously differentiable concave function $V(x)$ which is dominated by a linear function and a solution to the HJB equation (3.3) with the boundary condition $V(0)=0$, and the optimal dividend strategy is a barrier strategy. In addition, the explicit expression for $V(x)$ is given.
Let us find a twice continuously differentiable, increasing and concave solution $V(x)$ to (3.3) with $V(0)=0$, and $V(x)$ is dominated by a linear function. If there exists some point $b>0$ with the following properties:
Because
for $l\in[0, x]$ if $x < b$, and $1-V'(x-l)\geq0$ for $l\in[0, x-b)$ but $1-V'(x-l) < 0$ for $l\in[x-b, x)$ if $x > b$, we have that $l+V(x-l)$ is decreasing in $[0, b)$ with respect to $l$ if $x < b$, and $l+V(x-l)$ is increasing in $[0, x-b)$ but decreasing in $[x-b, x]$ with respect to $l$ if $x > b$. Hence a candidate of the optimal dividend strategy should be
Therefore (3.3) is translated into
Noting that $V(x)$ behaves differently depending on wether $x$ is below or above the barrier $b$, we denote $V(x)$ as
According to Theorem 16.69 of Breiman L [20], we know that equation (4.1) has two positive independent solutions $f_{1}(x)$ and $f_{2}(x)$, and thus the equation
has two positive independent solutions $f_{3}(x)$ and $f_{4}(x)$. In addition, $f_{1}(x)$ and $f_{3}(x)$ are strictly decreasing, but $f_{2}(x)$ and $f_{4}(x)$ are strictly increasing. In fact, the explicit expressions for $f_{1}(x)$, $f_{2}(x)$, $f_{3}(x)$ and $f_{4}(x)$ are given by
where $M(a_1, a_2;x)$ and $U(a_1, a_2;x)$ are called the confluent hypergeometric functions of the first and second kinds respectively. $M(a_1, a_2;x)$ and $U(a_1, a_2;x)$ satisfy the following properties:
Therefore the solution of (4.1) can be expressed as
for some constants $A_1$ and $A_2$.
Using (4.13), we get $\mathop {\lim }\limits_{x \to \infty } \frac{{{f_4}(x)}}{x} = \infty $. Because $V(x)$ is dominated by a linear function, the solution of (4.2) can be expressed as
for some constants $A_3$, $D$ and $F$.
Plugging (4.15) into (4.2), we get
Plugging (4.16) and (4.17) into (4.15) and letting $x$ tend to $b$, we have
The conditions $V(0)=0$ and $V'_1(b-)=V'_2(b+)=1$ imply that
From (4.20)-(4.22), we have
where $h(x)=f_1(x)f_2(0)-f_1(0)f_2(x)$. The value of $b$ is determined by $V_1(b-)=V_2(b+)$, i.e.,
Using (4.12) and (4.13), we can easily show that
Hence there exists a positive solution to the equation (4.23) if
If $(\delta-r)(\beta+\delta)\frac{f_3(0)}{f'_3(0)}+\beta c\leq0$, then $b=0$, by a similar argument, we have
for some constant $A_4$. The condition $V(0)=0$ implies that
Theorem 4.1 If $(\delta-r)(\beta+\delta)\frac{f_3(0)}{f'_3(0)}+\beta c\leq0$, then the function
is twice continuously differentiable, concave, dominated by a linear function and a solution to the HJB equation (3.3).
If $(\delta-r)(\beta+\delta)\frac{f_3(0)}{f'_3(0)}+\beta c>0$, then the function
is twice continuously differentiable, concave, dominated by a linear function and a solution to the HJB equation (3.3), where $b$ is determined by (4.23).
Proof If $(\delta-r)(\beta+\delta)\frac{f_3(0)}{f'_3(0)}+\beta c\leq0$, it is straightforward to verify that the function given by (4.29) is twice differentiable and satisfies the differential equation (4.2) with boundary condition $V(0)=0$. Because of the facts that
we know that $V'(x) < 1$ for any $x > 0$, hence $V(x)$ is concave and satisfies the HJB equation (3.3) with boundary condition $V(0)=0$.
If $(\delta-r)(\beta+\delta)\frac{f_3(0)}{f'_3(0)}+\beta c > 0$, using (4.23) and the facts that
which implies that the function given by (4.30) is twice differentiable. Noticing that, for $x\geq b$, we have
and hence $V'(x) < 1$. For $x < b$, using the formulas
hence
Noting that $h'(b)=f'_1(b)f_2(0)-f_1(0)f'_2(b) < 0$, then it follows that $V'''(x) > 0$. Hence $V''(x)$ is strictly increasing. Since
we have $V''(x) < 0$ for any $x < b$, therefore $V'(x)$ is decreasing in $[0, b]$. Because $V'(b)=1$, we have $V'(x) > 1$ for $x\leq b$. Hence $V(x)$ is concave and satisfies the HJB equation (3.3) with boundary condition $V(0)=0$. The proof is completed.
Combining Theorem 3.1 with Theorem 4.1, we obtain the following proposition.
Proposition 4.2 The optimal dividend strategy is a barrier strategy. The barrier is 0 if
or determined by (4.23) if
The functions $V(x)$ given by (4.29) and (4.30) are the optimal value functions respectively.